It’s finally here.

This morning, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration made it official: El Niño conditions are present in the tropical Pacific Ocean. There’s a 90 percent chance that they’ll continue through winter, and a 60 percent chance through spring.

True to predictions, this El Niño is a weakling.

Climate scientist Emily Becker summarized the situation at the ever-awesome ENSO blog:
After several months of flirting, the tropical Pacific ocean and atmosphere app